Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.179035 0.206954 0.237765 0.274288 0.316407 0.363460 0.420030
2025-10-05 0.139712 0.178642 0.226045 0.288010 0.366909 0.464073 0.592950
2025-10-12 0.117296 0.160891 0.217733 0.297272 0.405769 0.548744 0.751786
2025-10-19 0.101486 0.147415 0.210733 0.304392 0.439530 0.627710 0.910247
2025-10-26 0.088490 0.135080 0.202489 0.307114 0.465597 0.697078 1.061789
2025-11-02 0.076757 0.122496 0.191599 0.303573 0.480735 0.750789 1.195025
2025-11-09 0.065881 0.109502 0.178060 0.293612 0.483853 0.785379 1.301321
2025-11-16 0.060299 0.104063 0.175404 0.300108 0.513101 0.863080 1.484141
2025-11-23 0.054704 0.097789 0.170468 0.301914 0.534283 0.929194 1.654286
2025-11-30 0.050413 0.093158 0.167622 0.306692 0.560635 1.006134 1.850788
2025-12-07 0.045058 0.085929 0.159343 0.300702 0.566897 1.048193 1.988978
2025-12-14 0.040736 0.080059 0.152782 0.296949 0.576522 1.096747 2.143624
2025-12-21 0.037590 0.076127 0.149500 0.299242 0.598253 1.170829 2.356944
2025-12-28 0.036233 0.075549 0.152553 0.314203 0.646304 1.300195 2.693445
2026-01-04 0.034440 0.073856 0.153186 0.324304 0.685617 1.416337 3.016066
2026-01-11 0.032570 0.071763 0.152745 0.332070 0.720844 1.527686 3.340861
2026-01-18 0.030427 0.068823 0.150202 0.335039 0.746141 1.620920 3.637151
2026-01-25 0.027911 0.064761 0.144815 0.331177 0.756085 1.682446 3.870648
2026-02-01 0.025103 0.059707 0.136708 0.320313 0.749161 1.706431 4.022306
2026-02-08 0.023915 0.058263 0.136489 0.327397 0.783838 1.826223 4.406971
2026-02-15 0.022464 0.056024 0.134204 0.329367 0.806725 1.921399 4.743990
2026-02-22 0.021347 0.054463 0.133328 0.334578 0.837845 2.038706 5.146875
2026-03-01 0.019605 0.051148 0.127904 0.328045 0.839512 2.086071 5.382512